piper1
Verified Trader,
The problem is that Canada's vaccine acquisition was so badly botched that many Canadians won't get their vaccination for another month and most won't be fully vaccinated until the fall. Then there is the suggestion that vaccine passports are coming and if there is a way to screw up that rollout our government will find it. This will also rule out the many North Americans/collectors who are refusing the vaccine. The saga is far from over.
I am going to be positive and say it has a 50% chance. I know there are issues with vaccinations in Canada and getting shots in arms is the key. But I think the summer will be the decider if enough vaccines can get out to folks (and maybe that would allow enough time for fall Expo plans to work out). Hopefully, the US will continue to release more of its vaccine stock to its neighbors. I think we ordered 1.3 billion doses. Our rollout in the Dc area of Virginia wasn't the smoothest. A month ago, I couldn't find an appointment anywhere, then all of a sudden the floodgates opened and there were appointments everywhere. It was just announced that our local expo will be a go on May 21st with a 1,000 person capacity limit.
What I am really waiting on is the announcement for The National which is due the beginning of June.
I guess what I am sayiong is that things can turn around quickly- if enough people can (and will) get vaccinated...